Eagles vs Giants – NFL Picks and Parlays 10/11/18

NFL Picks and Parlays

Odds provided by BetOnline

Welcome back to LazyBets NFL picks and parlays!  New York and Philadelphia have had disappointing seasons thus far, with the 1-4 Giants looking anything but Giant and the 2-3 Eagles not being able to get off the ground.  Their week six matchup on Thursday Night Football presents a huge opportunity for both teams to get their seasons back on track in the Meadowlands. The Eagles come into this NFC East showdown as a three-point favorite at BetOnline.

NFL Pick of the Day:

Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Giants

Time: 8:20 PM EST, FOX

Spread: Giants +3

Total: 44

Philadelphia Eagles Week 6 Analysis

The Eagles’ offense is 25th in the league in yards per play this season, averaging just 5.2 yards per offensive snap. The team responsible for the Philly Special in last year’s Super Bowl hasn’t looked special at all when they’ve had the ball, due to some diminished offensive line play and some struggles at the quarterback position.

In his three starts this season, Carson Wentz has thrown five touchdown passes to just one interception. That is a far cry from the Wentz that we saw last season, who was one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL. To put Wentz’s start into context, he has fewer touchdown passes than Patrick Mahomes had in his week two game against the Steelers alone. That just isn’t good enough production from a quarterback who was an MVP candidate last season.

Philly is averaging 4.4 yards per rush attempt, putting them in the top half of the league in that category. However, they will be without rushing leader Jay Ajayi, who was put on injured reserve after last week’s game against the Vikings.  With Darren Sproles also out of the lineup against the Giants, it will be up to Wendell Smallwood to play an increased role in the offense.

Smallwood has averaged six yards per carry in his limited handoffs this season.  In addition to having an extremely funny last name, he has some talent to go along with it. He’s a decent pass catching back, as he has racked up 10 catches this season despite not seeing as much time on the field as he will now that he is one of the few healthy running back options for the Eagles.

On defense, the Eagles are allowing seven yards per pass attempt to their opponents, good for a tie for 15th in the league. That is a disappointing number when you consider how good they were at getting pressure on the quarterback last season.  The Eagles secondary has been as disappointing as Philadelphians’ habit of constantly eating at gas stations.

The pass defense for the Eagles will need to be much better here against a Giants team that loves to put the ball in the air.  They won’t have much time to build a game plan either, as they’ll be facing the dreaded short week followed by a road game. Philly will have to overcome a lot to come away with a win here and avoid dropping to 2-4 on the season.

New York Giants Week 6 Analysis

The Giants average 5.6 yards per play offensively, tying them for 16th in the league with the Niners, Panthers, and Jets -- none of which are offensive juggernauts.  The Giants have not been overly impressive this year as they have looked to rebound from last year’s debacle of a season. This year hasn’t gone much better, as they are on pace for yet another 3-13 season.

New York is averaging 3.9 yards per carry as a team on the season, leaving them tied for 21st in the league. Saquon Barkley is averaging over four yards per carry, but it turns out that spending a second-overall pick on a running back isn’t a great plan for the future if you don’t have anyone who can block for him.

Speaking of blocking, the Giants waived Ereck Flowers in the lead-up to this game, ending the tenure of one of the worst offensive linemen in the recent history of the NFL. Giants fans were thrilled about the news, which is similar to the Giants taking out the trash from their locker room. This could lead to a more charged up crowd at MetLife Stadium, which could help the players in this game.

The Giants are in the top half of the league in passing offense, averaging seven yards per pass attempt. They got their aerial attack together in week five against the Panthers, with Eli Manning hitting some passes down the field to Odell Beckham Jr. at long last. They have a great chance to play well for a second straight week against a soft Eagles secondary.

Defensively, the Giants are a little soft themselves, giving up 5.7 yards per play. They are a tenth of a yard worse than the Eagles in that regard, with their standing near the bottom of the league in rush defense contributing to their defensive woes in a big way. Fortunately for the Giants, the Eagles are short on running backs to where they may not be able to make the Giants pay on Thursday night.

Eagles vs. Giants Trends

Both teams have struggled against the spread this season, with the Eagles sitting at 1-4 and the Giants at 2-3 through five games. Both teams have played well on Thursday Night Football, with the Eagles going 4-1 against the spread in their last five Thursday games, and the Giants going 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 Thursday contests.

The Giants are 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 home games, as their struggles over the last two seasons have made it difficult for them to live up to expectations in their home stadium.

NFL Free Pick:

Giants +3

Both teams are coming off of tough losses last week, but the Eagles are suffering from serious injuries in their running game, which will be exacerbated by a short week. The Giants’ passing game against the Eagles pass defense might be the biggest mismatch on the field, as Odell Beckham’s comments (with Lil’ Wayne for some reason) seem to have lit a fire under the team. Expect the Giants to start strong in this game and hold on for a cover in what should be a tight game between two rivals.

 We’re taking the G-Men and the points on Thursday night.

Good luck out there and don't forget to check out the rest of our NFL picks and parlays this weekend!

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