NBA Free Picks – May 1, 2018

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NBA Free Pick – May 1st, 2018 – NBA Playoffs Round 2

We had a great night with yesterday’s Free NBA picks ATS.  If you tailed us and took the Celtics +5 last night, you were treated to an easy night where your bet was won at the end of the third quarter.  If you stayed with us, you also got a pretty nice 2.9 to 1 winner in the Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich Draw.  We saw that coming too.

We’ve now been writing for several months, and if you have been tailing us, you’ve been treated to a very solid and profitable record in NBA, Soccer, NCAAB, and MLB betting.  We like to help people achieve their financial freedoms by providing a chance against the book.

We’ve won our whole lives.  Shouldn’t you start?

Today we look at another crucial NBA playoff second round matchup.  The Pelicans line up against the Golden State Warriors for the second game of their series.  Game 1 was a bloodbath that fell in Golden State’s favor.  What will game 2 have in the cards?

New Orleans Pelicans vs Golden State Warriors

Warriors lead series 1-0

Spread: Golden State Warriors -11 (-115)

Moneyline: New Orleans Pelicans +525

Total: Under 228 (-110)

Game one was not a good one for the Pelicans.  The defense that carried them through a surprising four game sweep of the Blazers was non-existent against the Warriors.  They fell 123-101 and have now lost the series according to many talking heads.

At the end of the day, it’s Game 1 against a battle tested side.  The Pelicans fell a little flat.  Game 2 normally means improvement for road teams.  The environment is a little less intimidating and comes more naturally.  For the Pelicans, that’s very real.  Portland is one thing, but Golden State is another in your first trip to the playoffs with a team that is just getting used to it.

The Pelicans were one of the hottest teams in the NBA at the end of the regular season.  They continued that form into the playoffs.  It’s my opinion that they’re getting written off wrongfully here after one game.

Do they have a chance of beating the Warriors in the overall series?  Absolutely not.  This is a two horse race if there ever was one, and the winner of that race is going the be the NBA champion.

Do the Pelicans stand a chance of COVERING when given 11 points?  The answer is HELL YES.  This is the playoffs, and no one wants to go home.  Not only that, the defense is more physical, and more fouls are called for teams with a low post presence.

The Pelicans are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games.  The Warriors are just 2-8 ATS when they are forced to cover more than 10 points.

All of this points to a Pelicans cover.  Take the +11 and the reduced juice at -105 with Bovada.  You’ve got an easy winner tonight with too much money going on an inflated line.  After all, the Pelicans are #4 in team defense during this playoff season.

Let’s keep winning. 

Pelicans +11 (-105)

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