College football betting is so much fun. There are tons of games to bet on each and every week. The entire country and their schools send teams to compete and it makes every Saturday in the fall an event that is circled on most calendars. Whether you party, gamble, tailgate, or study, there’s always a reason to love college football and there are a ton of ways to bet on sport. Today we’re looking at college football win totals and the over under spread as presented by MyBookie.
The Huskies may be a bit too cute for 11 wins this season.
The Washington Huskies have been the recent flavor of gold standard in a Pac-12 that seems to change balance every few years. Chris Petersen’s transition from Boise State was criticized as a move for Washington, but it’s been a successful move for the school. The coach has massively impacted the program's winning attitude and he has lead them to a College Football Playoff and a Fiesta Bowl appearance during his tenure at the head of the program. The oddsmakers are high on the Huskies this year. Their 10.5 marker on the win/loss line is just .5 games below the Alabama Crimson tide.
There is no doubting that the Huskies have the talent. The team returns 7 of 11 starters to an offensive unit that finished second in scoring last year with 36.2 ppg. QB Jake Browning is a senior and a Heisman Candidate, especially if they hit the over. RB Myles Gaskin is a senior too and will be looking to lead the offense while they find their deep ball threat.
The thing that made Washington so attractive was their balance. In addition to a stellar offense, they also had the #5 scoring defense in the nation. The Huskies only allowed 16.1 ppg.
Washington has to deal with the SEC and Auburn in the first week of the season. The game is basically on the road in Atlanta, Georgia which is far from Pac-12 country. The first week of the season is always tough, and it’s even tougher when it’s against a quality opponent out of the SEC.
This one smells fishy and could very well be a loss right off the bat as Auburn comes in with a #19 preseason ranking and high hopes this year.
In conference, Washington takes visits to Oregon and UCLA which are always tough for the Huskies. A trip to Washington State brings opportunity for slip up as well. Emotions always run high in the Apple Cup. Top that off with home game against Stanford late, and you can see why we have some issues with 11 wins.
Sure, the Huskies should have an excellent season, but we don’t think it will be 11 wins excellent because of the competition. While the Pac-12 South is soft, the North is strong this season. Expect anything but an easy run through the league for Washington.
Central Florida’s big story this off-season was the loss of head coach Scott Frost to Nebraska. The bigger story should be the return of quarterback McKenzie Milton. He leads the explosive UCF offense into battle against the rest of the American Athletic Conference this season.
The non-conference schedule for UCF has some Power 5 conference teams in it. South Carolina and North Carolina headline a tough out-of-conference schedule on paper. Both are slated for more pedestrian years as they rebound. North Carolina may be one of the worst major conference teams in football this year and shouldn't be much of an issue for a seasoned Knights roster.
As long as the Golden Knights get through those two games against tougher out of conference opponents, they should be “golden” so to speak. The rest of the Knight schedule includes much easier conference games. The big date in-conference comes against Memphis on the road on 10/13. Memphis has a dynamic offense but still has a lot of question marks on the defensive side of the ball.
If Alabama is going to exceed 11 wins in the regular season, it will do so with their ability to throw the football. The team lost a lot of its receiving production to the NFL and will need to make up for the loss of Calvin Ridley’s 63 hauls last year. Jerry Jeudy steps in for Ridley, following a great lineage of Florida-based receivers who have made their names at Alabama.
There is some question around this defense at Alabama. Last year's squad finished #1 overall in all defensive categories except for passing yards against last year. With that talent came an expected loss to the NFL and the team will have to compensate for that talent.
While the losses on defense hurt, good defenses are a staple of the Saban era and losing talent is considered normal for coaches of Saban's class. He likely has more talent than anyone knows waiting in the wings and without fail Alabama will be one of the best defenses in football once again this year.
What a luxury Alabama has at QB. Jalen Hurts has only lost two games in his college career. Despite his success, Hurts is slated to be the backup QB behind Tua Tagovailoa this season. Tagovailoa showed all of the tools of a superstar during last year’s College Football Playoff championship. He was just as agile as Jalen Hurts, only with the ability to push the ball down the field more often.
The switch at QB should help the Alabama immensely in the passing game. In turn, it should also help the run game. Look for Damien Harris and Najee Harris to have great seasons this year out of the backfield. Alabama looks really good, especially if Saban coaches some of his younger players up to their potential.
Alabama will be a sizable favorite in most of the games that they play this season. They might even be favored in every single game.
Urban Meyer did THE Ohio State University a disservice this off-season, but they may be digging their own grave with the way they handled Meyer’s discipline. ESPN had a scathing article on the University and the handling of scandals surrounding Zach Smith and his domestic assaults of wife Courtney Smith.
We won't get into it here, but Meyer lied. Most employees would get fired for his conduct. The truth is, most of us would have been fired for much less. Instead, Urban Meyer survives to live another day and has only been suspended for the short duration of three games.
In addition to Meyer’s scandal, Ohio State is going to have to trot a new quarterback out onto the field this season.
The Buckeyes have tough games this season against TCU, Penn State and Michigan State, all of whom are trying to take out the champions. Meyer won't be available on the road at TCU and that game has loss spelled all over it for the Buckeyes before Meyer comes back.
This type of stuff has an impact player psyche and morale. It tends to come out on the field. It won't help that the man who's supposed to be leading them is the one who's causing the turmoil. Fade it.
Ohio State Under 10.5 Wins
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Wisconsin has a very easy road to get to the Big Ten championship game. The team plays in the less-than-stellar Big Ten West. The quarterback play will not necessarily need to be great. The defense and running game for Wisconsin should be enough to propel them into a conference title game at the very least. Over 10 wins is looking good on the surface!
As we talk about in our Heisman Trophy odds article, Wisconsin should steamroll its opponents on the way to an easy appearance in the championship game. Jonathan Taylor in particular should be on his way to a top-5 Heisman voting finish.
Anything can happen in a season. Teams emerge from nowhere and that's one of the things that make over under betting fun.
Based on analysis, these are some of the lesser "gambly" picks you could make with regards to college football win totals. All five of these teams have a chance to land on the right side of their respective win total over/unders. As long as they live up to expectations, that is more important than the end result five years from now.