When Washington and the Philadelphia Eagles get together on Monday Night Football, it is usually pretty memorable. Or, at the very least, Michael Vick throws the ball all over the place in a blowout win for Philly.
This time, though, both teams come into the game struggling and in danger of falling out of the race in the NFC East.
Philly is a six-point favorite over at MyBookie as they look for a big home win to keep themselves in the race for the NFC East.
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Redskins Week 13 Outlook
Washington’s offense averages 5.2 yards per play this season, putting the team in a tie for 26th in the league in that department. They are also 27th in the league in scoring average, putting up an even 20 points per game on the year. Of course, most of those numbers came with Alex Smith at quarterback, rather than current starter Colt McCoy, but more on that in a bit.
Their rushing attack is tied for 16th in the league at 4.3 yards per carry in 2018. Adrian Peterson is about what the team expected from him, a powerful runner who has been mostly productive and someone who has shared some controversial stances on child discipline. With Smith out at quarterback, Peterson is more valuable than ever to this offense.
Through the air, Washington’s 6.2 yards per pass attempt put them in a tie for 28th in the NFL in passing average. Colt McCoy is not a great quarterback whatsoever, but you have to remember that Alex Smith is responsible for most of the pass attempts in this average. That is to say that the injury to Smith could be overvalued for a team that wasn’t getting much out of its passing game to begin with.
On defense, Jay Gruden’s team is tied for 17th in the league, giving up 5.8 yards per play. They looked good against the Dallas Cowboys for the most part, but the toughest thing for this defense right now will be battling the exhaustion that comes with being on the field for more of the game thanks to a backup quarterback.
Against the run, Washington gives up 4.3 yards per carry, which is good for 13th in the league. Against the pass, they are allowing 7.3 yards per attempt, putting them in a tie for 20th in the NFL.
Eagles Week 13 Outlook
The Eagles’ offense has moved the ball to the tune of 5.5 yards per play this season, putting them in a tie for 20th in the league this season. Philadelphia is 24th in the league in scoring offense, averaging 20.9 points per game on the season.
They are tied for 20th in rushing average as well, toting the rock for 4.2 yards per carry. Injuries have tanked the Eagles running game this season, which they will need to fix if they want any chance to get into the playoffs this year.
Philly has the 22nd ranked passing offense in the league, averaging 6.7 yards per attempt through the air. For all of the talk about how great Carson Wentz was last season, he sure hasn’t live up to that standard this year. Now the Eagles will need him to be at his best for the stretch run, even if it’s unclear that he can get to that level again.
On defense, the Eagles are allowing 6.1 yards per play, good for 24th in the NFL. After locking down the Falcons and Vikings in the playoffs last season, this defense looks more like the one that gave up a point total in the 40s to the Patriots in the Super Bowl.
They have struggled against the run, giving up 4.9 yards per carry and sitting in a tie for 27th in the NFL in that department. Washington is going to need to lean on the run for the rest of this season, which could be a huge problem for a defense that has more holes in it than a slice of Swiss cheese.
Doug Pederson’s team hasn’t been much better against the pass, giving up 7.2 yards per attempt. That number has the Eagles in a tie for 18th for the year. They made Eli Manning look like a good quarterback last week, in case you needed context as to how badly they were playing.
Redskins vs. Eagles Trends
Washington comes into week 13 with a 6-5 straight up record and a record of 7-4 against the spread. In their last six games following a straight up loss, Washington has gone 5-1 against the spread. They have also beat the number in five of their last seven total games. But Washington has been abysmal historically on Monday Night Football, going 7-20 against the spread in their last 27 Monday games.
Philadelphia enters with a mark of 5-6 straight up for the season and an against the spread record of just 3-8. Philly has gone 2-8 against the spread in their last 10 games and have only covered the spread once in their last five games against NFC East opponents. At home, the Eagles have failed to cover the spread once in their last five attempts, and they have gone 0-4 against the spread in their last four against teams with winning records. Needless to say, trends are not a friend of the Eagles at this point in time.
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NFL Free Pick
Washington and the Eagles both desperately need this game to give themselves a chance to stay afloat in the NFC East. Otherwise, the surging Cowboys will be able to keep moving right past them.
Washington has an edge in this game though, in that they are facing a bad defense and that the public perception toward them is worse.
A lot of bettors will tell you that the loss of Alex Smith is a death blow to Washington, but the numbers show that is simply not the case. Take Washington to keep it close in this game.
Bet the Redskins +6 (-105)
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