Liverpool vs Manchester City – EPL Picks and Parlays – 10/7/18

Odds to provided by BetOnline

Welcome back to LazyBets EPL picks and parlays!  The season is moving right along and this weekend offers a very tasty schedule of fixtures to choose from.  Bettors have to love the prospects of a Liverpool vs Manchester City match-up and we do too.  Let’s dive right in as the Reds take on the other team from Manchester with odds provided by BetOnline.  This game is vital for both teams at the top of the table!



Liverpool vs Manchester City

3-Way Line

Liverpool (Home): +147

Manchester City (Away): +181

Draw: +225

Goal Total: Under 3 (-120)

Liverpool FC Analysis

Liverpool and Manchester City enter Sunday’s competition level at the top of the table.  Manchester City are slightly ahead given goal differential, but each of these teams are unbeaten in domestic play.  At 6-1-0 in 7 games, both clubs have both earned 19 points and lead a close Premier League with 19 points to start October.

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp believes that it is too early in the season for Premier League title talks.  We must agree with the great head man.  Liverpool have bigger problems right now. This club needs to right the ship and quickly.  They face the stiffest of competition here against Manchester City.  If things go south, Liverpool could find themselves out of title talks just as quickly as they were in them.

Liverpool have fallen out of form recently after beginning the premier league with an unblemished record.  It’s largely been one team that has put the mental hurt on the men from the Merseyside.  The team crashed out of the Carabao Cup after Eden Hazard scored a world class goal.  The team followed that up by drawing Chelsea on a last ditch wonder goal from Daniel Sturridge.  A 1-0 loss to Napoli in the Champions league leaves Liverpool’s record in the last 3 games, 2 of them at home, at 0-2-1.

Liverpool’s struggles can be attributed to midfield production.  The attacking midfield has been dreadful in the last three games and that has really limited production of their 4-3-3 setup.  Mo Salah, Bobby Firmino, and Sadio Mane aren’t scoring as much as a unit this season and have needed to make more  of their chances.

Salah’s lack of finish has been palpable and is a concern for Reds supporters.  After setting the goal scoring record in the 2017 campaign, Salah has scored just 3 goals in 7 appearances.  That’s far from the pace of 32 goals in 36 appearances he scored last year.

There have been several opportunities where Salah has been just off the mark.  Such chances would have changed Liverpool’s recent fate.

Increasing Liverpool’s concern is the apparent loss of Naby Keita to injury.  The expensive signing for RB Leipzig had been struggling to find his footing at Anfield the last three weeks.  He left the Napoli contest with a non contact injury and was stretchered off the pitch.

If Keita can’t play, Jordan Henderson will be relied on against City.  Henderson is a nice luxury for Klopp.  His Captaincy and fire in big contests is undeniable.  He tends to step up for contests like these that really mean something.

Liverpool FC seem to have done a complete 180 on the 2017 season.  They struggled to hold leads last year but in 2018 they very rarely concede goals.  Virgil Van Dyke and Joe Gomez are turning into a world class pairing at CB and Allison has been a good addition for Liverpool.  In 4 premier league contests this season, Liverpool have given up just 4 goals.

Liverpool have kept a clean sheet in their last 8 Premier League home games.  2007’s campaign is the only longer streak in Liverpool history.

Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 24 premier league fixtures both home and away.  Their streak has included 16 wins and 8 draws.  Each of these current LFC streaks will be tested by one of the most potent offensive attacks in the world.

Manchester City FC Analysis

Manchester City, like Liverpool, have had little to no trouble domestically this season.  Their recent struggles have been in cup play.  The Champions League and extra scheduled games seem to be hurting City ever so slightly.  City struggled to beat Hoffenheim on Tuesday and needed a late goal to win 2-1.  That followed a 2-1 loss at the hands of Lyon on their home ground just a few weeks prior.

City’s lone stumble in league play came against Wolves on the road.  Wolves are an interesting and underrated team.  The 1-1 draw easily could have been a win for City.  The 1 point on the road is the only complaint supporters can have around an unbeaten domestic campaign.

Encouraging to City must be the possible return of Kevin De Bruyne in Saturday’s contest.  He has returned to training and surely has been circling this game on the recovery schedule.  His knee injury seems to be just about healed up which only makes City more imposing.

Sergio Aguero will need to overcome struggles in Liverpool or City will need someone else to step up.  The Argentinian has been surprising ineffective when he plays at Anfield.  In his seven combined appearances with both Athletico and Manchester City, Aguerro has never scored.  He’s attempted just 11 shots in those games and only three of them have been on target.

Concern too must be paid to Raheem Sterling.  The former LFC starlet can be very Jekyll and Hyde especially in front of a jeering Kop that will certainly be rowdy every time the winger touches the ball.  Keep an eye on City around kickoff.  It will be interesting to see if he plays.

The pressure is certainly on City in this game.  The men from Manchester have scored over 2 goals in 6 of 8 fixtures vs domestic teams.  The two games where they only scored 1?  The 1-1 draw to Wolves and a 2-1 loss to Liverpool.

Liverpool vs Manchester City Pick

Draw +225

Liverpool don’t typically drop points at Anfield.  The building has been re-established as one of the toughest places to play in the entire world.  When City travel to Liverpool on Sunday, they will be met with memories of defeats and draws.  They’ve achieved nothing else there.

It’s that incompetence on the road that gives hope for Liverpool here.  LFC should be able to get traction here where they have struggled in recent weeks.  They always seem to do so when City comes to town.

While Liverpool haven’t played well enough of late to earn our hard earned wager as a winner, they have earned a reputation.  This team doesn’t lose at home when it comes to playing games on the Premier League fixture list.

This will be competitive and fun, but in the end this one is going the route of a draw.  1-1 looks probable and BetOnline will pay you 6 to 1 if that exact scoreline hits. A payout of 2.25 to 1 on the draw here is where we see the best chances of winning.

Good luck everyone!  Don’t forget to check out our NFL picks and parlays for later this afternoon!

Draw +225

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