Today’s matches are the last of the Round of 16 in the knockout stage. The first game features Switzerland taking on Sweden in a match between European squads. The odds are close with Switzerland coming in at +145 on MyBookie. Sweden is a longer shot at +205. A draw comes in at +200. There’s not much edge here in terms of statistical value, so we’re leaving this one alone to focus on the second contest.
England take on Columbia in a game that is highly anticipated but may miss the participation of James Rodriguez. Let’s dive right in as the odds are beginning to shift on this one.
The pace of Cuadrado could cause problems for England.
Colombia may or may not have James Rodriguez in this game. Some reports have called the attacking midfielder’s injury minor and state he has a good chance of playing today. Others have him out with a serious injury that isn’t likely heal before game time.
There’s a lot rolling around the rumor mill which is making it tough for the bookies. The confusion has seen the Colombians drop from a +320 underdog to +275 just a few hours before kickoff. The Colombians are seeing some volume despite the injury to James, and it’s because of the depth the Colombians possess.
Juan Cuadrado and Falcao will still be playing in this game along with many other notables in a talented Colombia squad that has a ton of fans in Russia. Yerry Mina, Falcao, and Juan Quintero have already scored 2 goals apiece. The public isn’t forgetting that which is why we’ve seen the odds drop.
While injuries are concerning for Colombia, Lucas Muriel is fully capable of replacing James and creating issues for an England defense that lacks pace. He has extensive experience in top club playing capping his games most recently for Sevilla in Spain. Muriel is known for his blistering speed and ability to push up behind the strikers overwhelming the two center half’s.
Here at LazyBets, the leader in free picks that win, we expect the Colombians to continue to cause problems in this game. They’ve done so all tournament against their opponents. The only chink in the armor for Colombia came with a 3rd minute red card against Japan in their first fixture. They still almost won that contest. They’ve been amazing, and one player doesn’t make or break their squad.
When you look at the draw, the Argentinians lost to an amazing France team. To date, they’re the only South American squad to drop out of the world cup that qualified for the last 16. Both Brazil and Uruguay have seen themselves through to the round of 8. Colombia will join them.
While England have a decent albeit young roster lead by goal stealer Harry Kane, they have a history of falling short in the World Cup. The English weren’t particularly impressive in the group stage. They barely beating a Tunisia squad that was parked and giving up a goal on the way to a 2-1 win.
A 6-1 win over Panama is simply a win over an inferior and mismatched squad. The 1-0 loss to Belgium is irrelevant due to lack of group strength. All these results lead us to rate England as weak. We don’t understand the optimism. The poor results certainly don’t strengthen our opinion of the squad.
While the odds are in England’s favor here, we think they will drop out at this juncture and do so in regulation. The English are typically over bet by their home country, one that allows extensive gambling. That’s impacting the line here and providing the opportunity for a big payday.
England will be a drinking country tonight. Enjoy the pubs my mates, the Premier league season is almost here.
Good luck today. Don’t forget to stake some of your deposit bonus on our MLB free picks. A 59% win rate is not joke. We’re better than your financial advisor and we’re free, so what the heck are you waiting for? Find a sportsbook already!
Bet Colombia +275
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